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Could SMEs become the weak link in China’s economy?

when considering risk in the Chinese economy, a lot of the discussion has focused on large State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs), or large private conglomerates (...)

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UAE: a new place in new world trade?

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has the second largest and the most diversified economy in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) (...)

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Country Risk assessment map - 3rd quarter 2018

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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Sector risk assessments 3rd quarter 2018

13 major sectors assessed worldwide

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US Trade Protectionism: what are the knock-on effects on global value chains?

While policies to open up trade have been a standard feature since the creation of the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995, the 2008-2009 crisis proved a turning point (...)

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A new deal of cards for emerging markets

The past quarter has been marked by a continued rise in oil prices and capital outflows from emerging markets (...)

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Central & Eastern Europe Insolvencies: Good times come to an end

A favourable economic environment was not enough to reduce company insolvencies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). While average GDP growth accelerated to 4.5%, i.e. the highest level in nine years, insolvencies increased by 6.4%.

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Rising political risks cloud outlook for Asian economies

Political risks in Asia have increased, according to Coface’s Political Risk Model (...)

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Businesses in Greece: finally, a fresh start?

With Greece about to pull out of its third bailout package, signs of economic recovery are multiplying: 2017 was a year marked by the return of positive growth (+1.4%), and - despite weakening growth in the eurozone - Greek GDP growth is expected to be close to 2% in 2018, with Greek households and businesses remaining more optimistic in the first half of the year than in 2017.

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Taking stock of global metal sector trends and outlook

The most-widely traded base and ferrous metals have benefitted from a bull market since mid-2016 (...)

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Turkey Payment Survey 2018: Payment terms expand amid positive economic expectations

This is the first corporate payment survey in Turkey aiming at indicating how payment terms stand in different sectors, how companies manage credit management practices and evaluate future payment experience (...)

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Political Risk in Latin America: Back to the future?

Latin America has experienced a difficult period since 2014. The slump in commodity prices has impacted activity via several channels (...)

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Western Balkans and the European Union: political ties lagging behind economic ones

Despite regional conflicts, the 2007-08 financial crisis, and the 2009-11 eurozone crisis, Western Balkans countries have developed a close economic proximity with the European Union via a number of regional and bilateral agreements. However, due to institutional, economic, and diplomatic obstacles, accession to the EU will be a long process. At the same time, due to the region’s strategic importance and with the reinforcement of membership conditions, accession (or a pre-accession status) is likely to happen – especially as membership would divert the region from other
interested parties (Russia, China).

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Country risk assessment map - 1st quarter 2018

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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Sector Risk Assesments - 1st quarter 2018

13 Major sectors assessed worldwide

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Country and sector risks barometers Q1-2018 : Beyond the peak of global growth

The leading Western economies continued to perform well during the first quarter of 2018. The United States (US) economy is expected to remain robust this year, with a GDP growth forecast of 2.3%.

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Infographics - New mediterranean trade routes

More intra-mediterranean agreements. New bilateral trade flows are emerging

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The new Mediterranean trade routes

Integration is slowly declining in the mediterranean. Nevertheless, new trade routes have opened.

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China Corporate Payment Survey 2018: payment delays increase despite rapid and robust growth

The Chinese economy staged a comeback in 2017. GDP ticked up from 6.7% in 2016 to 6.9% in 2017, favoured by strong demand, as well as loose monetary and fiscal policy settings. As a result, risk managers have become more complacent, both in terms of their economic expectations and their risk management procedures.

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The singularity of political risk in Central and Eastern Europe

With the ongoing wave of elections in the Central and Eastern Europe region, CEE countries are experiencing a key period of change in a context of political risk and economic acceleration (...)

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