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Lost illusions and great expectations in our latest Country and sector risks Barometer

The year 2023 began with great enthusiasm, but in all likelihood it will not be the year that most observers were expecting. The 1st half of the year has reinforced some of our convictions... Read them and our economists' forecasts now.

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To hike or not to hike? Bank of England’s great dilemma

On May 11, the Bank of England (BoE) decided to raise its key interest rate for the 12th time in a row, bringing it to 4.5%. At its latest meeting, the BoE stated that it would stay the course to ensure that inflation returned to 2%, and did not rule out further hikes if there are signs of persistent inflation. The latest figures show a slowdown in headline inflation, from 10.1% in March to 8.7% in April, but core inflation reached its highest level in 30 years.
Read our press release to learn more.

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Coface pledges to shrink its carbon footprint

Coface has set clear social and environmental responsibility (CSR) goals, especially for direct and indirect greenhouse gas emissions, with the first milestone in 2025.

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Companies in China report shorter payment delays in 2022 and expect higher economic growth in 2023

Coface’ survey shows that fewer firms encountered payment delays in 2022. 40% of respondents reported overdue, down from 53% in 2021. The average payment delay was shortened from 86 to 83 days in 2022. More information here and in our publication.

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How has Coface managed and mitigated the impacts of Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022?

Learn more about how Coface has adapted to the conflict and handled the situation to reduce its risks and protect its clients.

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How United is the Kingdom? The Northern Ireland Protocol and Nicola Sturgeon’s resignation

The U.K. is currently experiencing political turmoil, adding to an already difficult economic situation. Read our brief analysis of the situation.

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Türkiye: Earthquakes raise inflation risk and political uncertainty

On February 6, the south eastern provinces of Türkiye were hit by earthquakes that killed over 40,000 people in Türkiye and Syria. This toll, far from being definitive, could double according to the United Nations. Retrouvez notre communiqué de presse sur les retombées économiques de cette catastrophe. Read our press release on the economic impact of this disaster.

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From excessive pessimism to excessive optimism - Coface Barometer Q4 2022

2023 starts with good news on the macroeconomic front. First, Europe has avoided a recession that looked long promised. Second, the prospect of a rebound in China in the second half of the year, also raises hopes for the global economy. In this context, Coface's risk assessments have changed only slightly, with 5 changes for country risks and 16 changes for sector risks. Discover which ones in our latest barometer.

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A cold chill on the global economy - Q3 2022 Barometer

Beyond the repercussions of the war in Ukraine, the global monetary tightening and the multiple constraints on Chinese growth paint a gloomy outlook. In the short term, the economy seems to be settling into a regime of "stagflation", where almost no growth and rapidly rising prices coexist. The possibility of a global recession, meanwhile, is becoming clearer.
In this context, Coface is making general downward revisions to its GDP growth forecasts and its country and sectoral assessments. Check them out!

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Germany Corporate Payment Survey 2022: Battered companies prepare for another crisis

The impact on corporate payments in 2022 appears to be moderate and comparatively lower than the shock on the economy. However, companies are vigilant in the short-term and very pessimistic about the future.
Christiane von Berg, our economist for the Northern Europe region, details the payment terms and expectations of companies in Germany.

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A recession to avoid stagflation? The world economy at a crossroads

Four months after the start of hostilities in Ukraine, first lessons can be drawn.
Which countries and sectors are doing best? Which ones are going to face major difficulties?
Read the forecasts from our Q2 Barometer now.

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CEE company insolvencies on the rise

Various economic conditions, support measures and legal changes have affected insolvency trends in the Central and Eastern Europe region over the last two years.

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Medium & long-term knock-on effects of the war in Europe on global sectors trends: will there be resilient sectors?

In the short run, all sectors for which Coface publishes sector risk assessments in six regions worldwide will be impacted by the knock-on effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Which ones would be the most resilient sectors? Read our full study now!

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Coface China Corporate Payment Survey: Increasing risks in supply chain disruptions and rising raw material prices

Coface’s 2022 China Corporate Payment Survey shows that fewer firms encountered payment delays in 2021, but those that did report longer periods of overdue payments than in the previous year. The average payment delay rose from 79 days in 2020 to 86 days in 2021. Firms in 9 out of 13 sectors reported an increase in payment delays, led by agri-food, which recorded the largest increase of 43 days, followed by wood, transport, and textile.

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War in Ukraine: Many (big) losers, few (real) winners

More than two months after the start of the war in Ukraine, of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February, prospects for a rapid resolution of the war seem increasingly unlikely. As sanctions against Russia continue to pile up, a return to the pre-war situation seems illusory, even in the event of an early end to the conflict.

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Coface FY-2021 results: record net income

Coface FY-2021 results: net income at €223.8m and 100% pay-out ratio.

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Morocco Corporate Payment Survey 2021: shortened delays but still widespread late payments

According to Coface's 2021 study on the payment behaviour of companies in Morocco, contractual payment terms in the country remain long, reaching an average of 79 days. However, they have improved significantly, with a shorter duration of about 14 days compared to the previous survey conducted in 2019.

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Chief Economist Jean-Christophe Caffet's 2022 Outlook

3 questions with Chief Economist Jean-Christophe, who presents our outlook for the global econmy.

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Best Wishes

2021 was an exciting year for Coface BeLux. We have not only supported our clients and brokers during their activity rebound, but we also helped them navigate that unusual situation by boosting their risk management skills with the Coface Trade Risk Academy.

Unfortunately, risks will not disappear in 2022 as the sanitary crisis is far from over. Still, we are confident and will continue to be agile thanks to the expertise of our 39 driven advisors.
We also have new initiatives which will bring additional value for Coface, its employees, partners, and clients.
WE ARE ALL LOOKING FORWARD TO STARTING THE NEW YEAR!

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Coface launches "GlobaLiner", its new service offer designed to better meet the needs of multinational companies.

GlobaLiner supports the development of multinational companies with faster contract issuance and greater control over local insurance policies.

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