#Economic publications

AI: The Gulf Region Enters a New Era of Strategic Dependence

Gulf nations are accelerating investments in artificial intelligence and data center infrastructure as they prepare for a future beyond oil. Yet this next phase of economic transformation brings a new set of challenges, including reliance on critical infrastructure, foreign technology, scarce specialised talent and growing pressure on natural resources.

Key Figures

  • More than USD 250 billion has been channelled by Gulf countries into AI, advanced data centers, gaming and digital ecosystems over the last two decades.
  • The region currently accounts for just above 1% of global data center capacity, but represents roughly 7% of capacity being built and close to 6% of future planned capacity.
  • A typical hyperscale data center may require between 1 and 5 million litres of water each day for cooling purposes.

 

The Gulf Intensifies Its AI Ambitions

Countries within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are rapidly establishing themselves as emerging centers for artificial intelligence and digital infrastructure. Supported by sovereign investment funds and long-term economic diversification plans, they are committing substantial resources to AI, cloud technologies, data centers and broader digital ecosystems. Although the region still represents a relatively small share of existing worldwide capacity, its presence in upcoming and ongoing projects is expanding quickly.

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are leading this regional push. Through large-scale infrastructure investments and collaborations with major international technology companies, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi are positioning themselves as the Gulf’s primary hubs for AI innovation and hyperscale data center development.

 

Diversification Brings New Forms of Exposure

The region’s digital expansion benefits from several advantages, including affordable energy, significant financial reserves, advanced desalination capabilities and a strategic location linking Europe, Asia and Africa. However, these strengths do not remove risk. Instead, they shift it into different areas.

AI development across the Gulf continues to rely heavily on external technologies, particularly semiconductors, advanced processing chips, leading cloud providers and export approvals. Local capabilities in semiconductor production and software infrastructure remain limited. At the same time, competition for highly qualified professionals in AI, cloud computing and semiconductor technologies is intensifying globally, making talent acquisition another major dependency.

 

Digital Infrastructure Is Becoming a Strategic Necessity

As Gulf economies continue their digital transformation, data centers, submarine cable networks, cloud environments and digital communication systems are increasingly regarded as critical infrastructure. These assets support financial markets, government services, smart city initiatives and the digital supply chains on which businesses depend.

Within an uncertain geopolitical environment, this growing importance introduces new forms of country risk. Major data centers can become physical targets, while undersea cable systems present additional points of potential disruption.

Resource constraints further complicate the picture. In a region where freshwater resources are limited and desalination is essential, expanding large-scale computing infrastructure may increase competition among industrial, residential and digital demands for water.

For companies operating in or connected to the Gulf, the AI boom is therefore not only a story of innovation. It also raises important questions about operational resilience, dependence on technology suppliers, business continuity planning and reliance on critical digital infrastructure.

 

The Gulf’s race for AI illustrates a profound shift: post-oil diversification does not eliminate vulnerabilities; it creates new ones. 

 

Data centers, semiconductors, talent and resources are now becoming assets that are just as strategic as energy infrastructure.

- Seltem Iyigun, Middle East economist at Coface.

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