News and Publications

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04/10/2018
Economic Publications

All Coface Publications

11/07/2017
Economic Publications

China-Africa: Will the marriage of convenience last?

Falling in love is easier than staying in love: a tale of unbalanced exchanges and increasing dependency.

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11/07/2017
Economic Publications

Infographics - New chinese ambitions in Sub-saharan Africa

Unbalanced Trade links between China and Africa. Under threat from a potential drop in chinese demand.

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10/18/2017
Economic Publications

Argentina legislative elections: is the continuity of the pro-business direction at stake?

Since Mauricio Macri took office in mid-December 2015, the economy has started to recover...

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09/29/2017
Economic Publications

Morocco: Drawing out of Payment periods, a perplexing trend ?

While more than 30% of respondents said in 2015 that that the time between the transmission of invoice and collection was between 30 and 60 days, this share decreased to 24% of respondents in 2016 and 11% of respondents in 2017.

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09/27/2017
Economic Publications

Are bond markets the new “spare tyre” for corporates in emerging economies?

If the year 2017 is synonymous with a slight economic upturn in the emerging markets, let’s not forget the previous three years were marked by increased corporate risk

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09/26/2017
Economic Publications

Country and sector risk barometer Q3 2017 - Global growth recovery: a real or a false start?

For once, the summer proved to be particularly quiet. No major events disrupted the path taken by the world economy.

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09/26/2017
Economic Publications

Infographics - Sector risk assessments - 3rd Quarter 2017

12 Major sectors assessed worldwide, each quarter, by Coface.

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09/25/2017
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map 3rd quarter 2017

Each quarter Coface evaluates 160 countries with a unique methodology.

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09/08/2017
Economic Publications

Time to address the infrastructure gap in Latin America

During the commodity super-cycle that lasted over a decade, until around 2014, Latin American economies showed robust performance.

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09/07/2017
Economic Publications

COFACE CEE TOP 500 RANKING

The Top 500 companies generated EUR 580 billion in 2016 – a minor decrease of 0.6% – and experienced a greater downturn in net profit by -3.1% to EUR 26.3 billion.

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09/07/2017
Economic Publications

Central and Eastern Europe: Less business insolvencies despite temporary headwinds in the construction sector

Despite some slowdown last year, average GDP growth remained at a solid level of 2.9% in Central and Eastern Europe [...]

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07/31/2017
Economic Publications

Latin America: The winners and losers of “Trumponomics”

Political changes in the US have caused uncertainty over the trade policies that could be implemented and the region’s vulnerability to tighter financial conditions. Since Donald Trump’s victory, the currencies of many emerging countries have fallen against the dollar. Mexico’s currency was the most greatly affected in the world, with 19 % depreciation against the USD in 2016

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07/19/2017
Economic Publications

Tough funding conditions for GCC corporates: the hidden effect of lower oil prices

Oil prices declined by around 75% between mid- 2014 and January 2016 (...)

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07/11/2017
Economic Publications

Asia Corporate Payment Survey 2016: tail risks are on the rise

Coface conducts an annual survey to examine corporate payment trends and experiences in eight selected economies in the (...)

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07/05/2017
Economic Publications

A gust of optimism is blowing over the world economy

At the end of the first quarter of 2017, we were wondering whether the timid global economic recovery was a flash in the pan (...)

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07/04/2017
Economic Publications

Country Risk Assessment map 2nd Quarter 2017

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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06/07/2017
Economic Publications

In the face of Brexit, are British businesses left to sink or swim?

One year after the “yes” vote for Brexit, seen as traumatic, the time has come for the United Kingdom to accelerate the implementation of its exit from the European Union (EU).

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05/24/2017
Economic Publications

Russia – from recession to recovery, but to what extent and how fast?

Between 1999 and 2008, Russia’s GDP grew by an average of almost 7% per year. In 2009, the fall in oil prices led to a severe recession (-7.8%).

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05/22/2017
Economic Publications

UAE payments survey : slight payment delays expected, due to slower growth

Through the initiative of Coface, a world leader in trade credit management and risk information services, a credit opinion survey across the UAE was rolled out in order to map out major shifts and prevailing trends in company payments.

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05/02/2017
Economic Publications

Labour shortages in Central and Eastern Europe countries: a growing concern for businesses

Labour markets in the Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region are continuing to improve.
Unemployment rates have reached the lowest levels ever recorded and most CEE economies are enjoying lower unemployment than the EU average

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05/02/2017
Corporate Publications

2016 ACTIVITY REPORT

2016, working towards the in-depth transformation of our Group. We aim to make Coface the most agile global credit insurance partner in the industry.

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04/21/2017
Economic Publications

Insolvencies in the construction industry in France: interest rates are key

With an average increase in corporate insolvencies of 4.2% per year, 137,520 companies went bankrupt between 2008 and 2014

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03/31/2017
Economic Publications

China corporate payment survey: the devil is in the detail

In 2016, credit extension practices in China differed from those seen in previous years. Fewer Chinese companies offered credit sales – but (...)

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03/21/2017
Economic Publications

Recovery in global growth: more than a flash in the pan?

Signs of a recovery in global growth are multiplying at the start of 2017.

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03/21/2017
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map - 1st quarter 2017

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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03/20/2017
Economic Publications

The rise and rise of political risks

Political risk seems to have been at the core of concerns since 2016, following numbers of articles and editorials on the topic (...)

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03/14/2017
Economic Publications

RMB depreciation, capital flow measures and new monetary stance - What are the implications for Chinese corporates?

The potential depreciation of the renminbi (RMB), along with the implementation of capital flow measures, are longstanding concerns for China.

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03/13/2017
Economic Publications

Business insolvencies in France: new year starts where the old year left off

January 2017 saw the drop in insolvencies, which started in May 2014, reach 58,031 - its lowest figure since September 2012 (-2.8% on the same period in 2016)

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01/24/2017
Economic Publications

Panorama : An economic upturn in the face of uncertainty

Starting with falling oil prices and financial markets in the winter, the Brexit referendum in the summer and the election of Donald Trump in the autumn, 2016 was punctuated by a series of upsets.

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01/24/2017
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map - January 2017 - 4th quarter 2016

Despite the recent economic upturn, uncertainties will continue to dominate the global economic climate this year.

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01/11/2017
Economic Publications

Panorama Poland payment survey - Payment delays pervade polish corporates

Coface’s payment survey confirms that sales on credit are being extensively used by Polish companies. Although credit periods have become common practice, it does not mean that receivables are being paid on time.

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12/20/2016
Economic Publications

Still tough times for South Africa?

South Africa’s growth performance has been in decline since the global financial crisis. Since peaking in 2011, the growth rate (hit by lower commodity prices and power supply problems) has continued to slow.

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12/19/2016
Economic Publications

Turkey: end of the tulip period?

Turkey’s economy experienced several shocks during 2015 and 2016. Heightened political uncertainties, regional tensions, the US rate hike process, the credit rating downgrade and domestic security issues, have all resulted in (...)

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12/13/2016
Economic Publications

Uberisation of the economy in France: a new weapon of mass creative destruction?

Why is the collaborative economy so captivating in France? First of all, because it is synonymous with youth and innovation. But also because sectors that (...)

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12/13/2016
Economic Publications

Company insolvencies in France: a further fall in 2017

The number of insolvencies in France continued to fall in the twelve months to end-October 2016 (-1.0%) (...)

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11/30/2016
Economic Publications

Panorama - German Economy in 2017: Stable, but not staid

The signs for Germany’s further economic development are promising, with a high level of stability.

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11/25/2016
Economic Publications

Barometer of sector risks in the world - 4th Quarter 2016

For this quarter, the result is clearly negative once again, as eight sectors have been downgraded and only one upgraded. The changes concern North America (increased risks in the retail, textile-clothing, paper-wood and transport sectors), Western Europe (downgrade of the agrofood sector) and Central Europe (downgrades for construction and IT & communications, but an upgrade for the transport sector) and Middle East (downgrade for IT & communications).

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11/25/2016
Economic Publications

Infographics - Sector risk assessments - 4th Quarter 2016

12 major sectors assessed worldwide

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11/08/2016
Economic Publications

Abenomics: The first arrow has silent impact on Japan’s exports and the yen, why?

Despite the silent impact of the first arrow on Japan’s exports, the operating profits of Japanese manufacturers which have been mainly exported oriented surged, in part due to their pricing-to-market behaviour.

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11/07/2016
Economic Publications

Mexico’s economy: more difficult times ahead

Mexico’s economy has been increasing above the Latin American average since 2012. While the region contracted by 0.5 % in 2015, Mexico, its second largest economy, grew by 2.5 %.

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10/17/2016
Economic Publications

European economies: Will political risk spoil the party in 2017?

The UK referendum in June, parliamentary elections in, Spain in December 2015 and June 2016...

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10/14/2016
Economic Publications

Country Risk Barometer Q3 2016

Concern again focused on oil prices,the emerging market thermometer

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10/13/2016
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map • 3rd quarter 2016

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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09/23/2016
Economic Publications

Latin america: why are Manufacturing exports still Lackluster?

Up until 2014, Latin America’s exports were boosted by China’s vast appetite for raw materials and the hike in their international prices.

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09/20/2016
Economic Publications

Morocco: The economy is slowing down; payment periods are getting longer

As a follow-up to the survey on Moroccan companies' payment periods published in May 2015, Coface here presents the results of the second edition.

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09/16/2016
Economic Publications

Panorama Poland : Insolvencies fall amid fair economic growth

Poland has seen a slowing of its economy this year, compared to 2015. Nevertheless, growth is still continuing at a fair rate and, in fact, remains at a level which many other economies can only dream of.

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09/14/2016
Economic Publications

Panorama France : Growth takes a time-out

French growth has taken a time-out in Q2. The political uncertainties in the United Kingdom, the strikes in May and the floods affecting Ile-deFrance are all likely suspects responsible for this surprise halt. However, the figures are expected to recover in Q3.

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09/09/2016
Economic Publications

Agrofood in North Africa: a strategic sector at nature’s mercy

The importance of the Agrobusiness sector varies between the different North African economies. While on a regional level, the sector leads exports, on a country basis it differs. In Morroco, agribusiness benefits from government subsidies, as it contributes nearly 16% of GDP and provides employment for 40% of the population. Overall, across the main north African countries, the lowest level of risk is in Morocco...

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09/05/2016
Economic Publications

Coface publishes CEE TOP 500 Companies

The CEE Top 500 ranks the 500 biggest companies in the region by turnover. These top players increased their turnover by 4.2% to nearly 593 billion EUR and enlarged their staff by 0.5%.

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08/31/2016
Economic Publications

US pharmaceuticals have enjoyed their time in the sun, but is it time to get out the umbrellas?

Despite having the highest healthcare expenditure of all industrialised nations (17.1% of GDP in 2013), the US public health outcomes are being outperformed by other advanced nations.

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08/26/2016
Economic Publications

Germany corporate payment survey 2016: so far, so good, but the devil is in the details

2016 marks the first time Coface has carried out a payment survey for Germany. This follows on from other surveys presented this year for (...)

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08/09/2016
Economic Publications

China’s two-speed economy: Sector winners and losers

In the light of the on-going structural reforms, the "tale of two Chinas" is resulting in sector wise winners and losers, linked to their growth potential in the medium and longer term, government policies and structural demand.

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07/18/2016
Economic Publications

Barometer of sector risks in the world

Coface updates its risks outlook for 12 business sectors in 6 regions every quarter. For the first time, these regional assessments are accompanied by detailed sectoral assessments for 17 countries (see appendixes page 6): United States, Japan, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, China, India, Brazil, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, UAE and South Africa. While the "balance of risks" currently seems to be more even than in Q1 (6 downgrades for 7 upgrades, compared to 9 downgrades for only 2 upgrades in Q1), it continues to mask marked differences from one region to By Coface Group Economists the next. In particular, sectoral risks continue to increase in the emerging world, where 5 of the 6 downgrades have been noted, whereas they have fallen in Europe despite the risks linked to the result of the British referendum.

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07/13/2016
Economic Publications

Insolvencies in Central and Eastern Europe

Companies in the Central and Eastern Europe region reported solid economic growth rates as well as more structured growth last year.

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07/11/2016
Economic Publications

United Arab Emirates: a new era of slower growth 

The United Arab Emirates (UAE)’ economy is of the most diversified within the Gulf region

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06/29/2016
Economic Publications

Sub-Saharan Africa: hit but not sinking

Sluggish global growth, characterised in particular by China's loss of momentum, shock to commodity prices… Sub-Saharan Africa has not been spared in the global tempest and seeks to maintain growth against wind and tide. The commodity producers are the most affected.

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06/29/2016
Economic Publications

Country Risk Barometer Q2 2016 - China and the United States, two giants with feet of clay

The global economy remains stuck in a "Japanese-style" trap of sluggish growth, despite ever more expansionary monetary policies

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06/29/2016
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map - 2nd quarter 2016

Coface helps you to assess business risks in 160 countries - Download our worldwide country risk assessment map.

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06/17/2016
Economic Publications

Business insolvencies in northern europe: slower decrease in 2016

Bankruptcies drastically decreased in almost all countries in the region during the course of last year - especially in the four Northern Europe Region (NER) countries we focus on in this panorama, namely Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and Denmark.

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05/31/2016
Economic Publications

Asia Corporate payment survey

Coface conducts an annual survey to examine corporate payment trends and experiences in 8 selected economies in the Asia Pacific region.

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05/26/2016
Corporate Publications

2015 ACTIVITY REPORT

Whatever their size, nationality or sector, we inform our customers about current market issues to assist them in controlling their financial risks.

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05/25/2016
Economic Publications

Company insolvencies in France: Is the recovery finally under way?

Is the recovery finally under way? That is the question being asked after a start to 2016 marked by a series of positive indicators for the French economy. But after several false starts (...)

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05/17/2016
Economic Publications

Brazil: a country in deep recession looks tentatively towards the first steps of the new government.

Brazil entered into a technical recession in the second quarter of 2015. Its economy contracted by 3.8 % in 2015 (...)

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05/09/2016
Economic Publications

Overview of Hungary : Corporates on the starting block for sustainable growth?

Hungary is performing well, considering the context of struggling economies globally.

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04/14/2016
Economic Publications

Steel sector: produce at all costs?

Steel producers’ solvency weaker than ever. There is no improvement in sight before 2018.

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04/13/2016
Economic Publications

Barometer of sector risks - April 2016

For the first time, Coface updates its global quarterly sector risk assessments for 12 sectors, in 6 regions worldwide (compared to 3 regions previously).

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04/13/2016
Economic Publications

Infografics: Sector risk assessments • 1st half 2016

12 major sectors assessed worldwide.

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03/25/2016
Economic Publications

Country Risk Barometer Q1 2016

Sluggish growth, absence of inflationary pressures, ever more expansionary monetary policies and increased volatility in financial markets; these are four elements characterising the global economy in early 2016 (...)

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03/24/2016
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment Map - March 2016

160 countries under the magnifying glass - Download our worldwide country risk assessment map.

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03/24/2016
Economic Publications

Companies in emerging countries: Can we once again believe in the Phoenix miracle?

Halved growth between 2010 and 2015, sharply increasing debt, increased exposure to currency risk, growing scarcity and increased cost of credit, falling export revenues (...)

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03/17/2016
Economic Publications

China Corporate payment survey

Since 2003, Coface has been conducting annual surveys on business payment experience in China. In 2015, the average credit termes offered by China-based firms decreased again, reflecting a more prudent approach to granting credit facilities to customers. the overall payment experience in China deteriorated and remained very challenging in 2015.

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03/16/2016
Economic Publications

Iran: sharp turn ahead, drive carefully

After five years of sanctions, Iran is finally to rejoin the global community. The return of Iran should have an effect on international growth through the oïl channel but above all, will bring huge changes to Iran itself. International sanctions have impacted the Iranian economy. Two consecutive years of negative growth and runaway inflation have tested Iran’s resistance model to its limit. The lifting of the EU embargo will allow Iran to revive its oil sector and return to the global market. The country is perceived as a new Eldorado, with its 78 million potential consumers.

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03/02/2016
Economic Publications

The German economy: safe inside, riskier outside

The German economy has changed its growth model during recent years. While internal demand (especially private consumption) – was sluggish and weak throughout most of the 2000s, it is currently the (...)

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02/17/2016
Economic Publications

Company insolvencies in France: Heading towards a third consecutive year of decline

In France, the number of company insolvencies fell for the second consecutive year in 2015, (-2.1%)

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02/17/2016
Economic Publications

China´s role in Latin America is much more than a trade issue

During the China-Celac Forum, held at the beginning of last year, China announced its intention to increase its investment stock in Latin America to (...)

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01/26/2016
Economic Publications

Country Risk Barometer Key challenges of 2016

After US households in 2007-2008 and Eurozone states in 2011-2012, emerging countries are now getting their turn at the epicentre of the storm, in part because of excessive debt. How did that happen? Growth cut in half in the emerging world between 2010 and 2015, highly expansionary monetary policies after the Lehman Brothers crisis, and the drop in commodity prices since mid-2014 are all part of the answer.

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12/23/2015
Economic Publications

Lower lira and higher debt: a bad mix for turkish business

During 2015, Turkey’s economy faced several challenges.
On the political scene, the country went through two elections in 2015, bring to four the number of elections over the last two years. After talks to form a coalition government fell through following the June 7 general election, the country returned to the polls on November 1. The combination of greater political uncertainty, security issues and global economic worries caused a sharp depreciation in the lira, which hit its alltime weakest level against the dollar in September.

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12/14/2015
Economic Publications

Poland Retail Sector – Household spending is supporting the economy but challenges remain

Retail trade benefits from good prospects of consumer demand which, however, will not eliminate challenges for the sector including an intense competition and the implementation of new levy for retailers. Foreign chains will remain dominant taking an advantage of their large-scale bargaining position and offering the most attractive prices for consumers even despite being charged by the new tax.

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12/08/2015
Economic Publications

In front of the globalisation of the wine market, Europe bends but does not break

European wine consumption has fallen over these past years, like that of France, which is a third of what it was 50 years ago.

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12/08/2015
Economic Publications

Barometer sector risks in the world - December 2015

Amongst the 14 business sectors monitored in three main regions of the world (Western Europe, North America and emerging Asia), three were downgraded during the third quarter of 2015: metallurgy in Europe, retailing in North America and textiles-clothing in emerging Asia.

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11/24/2015
Economic Publications

France overview third quarter 2015

Tenuous but confirmed. These are the terms that best describe France’s current growth - as illustrated by the figures for the third quarter, published in early November. Household consumption has increased, even if only modestly, due to gains in purchasing power as a result of almost zero inflation and despite the ever-rising unemployment rate.

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11/16/2015
Economic Publications

Egypt: slow recovery, structural challenges

Coface estimates that growth will increase to 4.4% for 2015/2016.

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11/03/2015
Economic Publications

Brazil - No quick fix for the crisis

Brazil has grown over the last decade, as a result of the boom in commodity prices and strong household consumption. The country endured the 2008-2009 crisis, thanks to liquidity injections from public banks.

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10/19/2015
Economic Publications

Poland – solid economic growth results in a sustainable decrease of company insolvencies

The increased economic activity in Poland already reached levels required to stabilise the number of company insolvencies. The current global economic situation could be summarised as a gradual recovery for advanced economies and turbulent times for emerging countries.

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10/15/2015
Economic Publications

Focus on the future of solar energy in Europe: photovoltaics

Despite competition from China and the end of subsidies, the revival of the European photovoltaic industry seems likely.
Although photovoltaics only accounts for 5.3% of total electricity consumption in Europe, this sector has benefited from worldwide momentum in favour of "greener" energy consumption. Between 2004 and 2012 European electricity from photovoltaics increased sharply, from 0.7 to 62.4 billion KWh. This growth was driven by Germany, Spain and Italy, where 80% of Europe's photovoltaic facilities were located. The sudden expansion of photovoltaics was made possible by favourable government policies (a system of renewable purchase obligations and subsidies), plus the sharp and continued drop in the price of installations, intensified by Chinese competition. Europe led the field at that time, accounting for 75% of worldwide production in 2012.

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10/15/2015
Economic Publications

Barometer sector risks in the world - October 2015

In a context of low growth, the global sectoral dynamics are mixed. In this overview we analyse five major sectors: automotive, energy, metals, information and communication technologies (ICT) and paper-wood, in North America, emerging Asia and in Western Europe.

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09/18/2015
Economic Publications

Asia challenged by China’s slowdown

The Chinese economy has been in the spotlight for several months: devaluation of the yuan, stock market collapse, falling property prices, fears of an excessive economic slowdown, doubts about the reliability of published data and, more generallyspeaking, uncertainties about the rebalancing process the authorities have launched. In this anxiety-provoking environment, other Asian countries seem to be the first potential victims in the event of a hard landing for the Chinese economy.

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09/18/2015
Economic Publications

Country Risk Barometer Q3 2015

For the fourth consecutive year, global growth will fail to exceed 3%. At the beginning of the year however, this target did not appear unattainable, as the highly expansionary monetary policies in place, combined with the fall in the oil price and less restrictive fiscal policies, were expected to effectively accelerate growth. But this was not the case. Who is at fault? Chiefly the emerging markets, with Russia and Brazil in deep recession, and with growth slowing down more rapidly than expected in China, while failing to take off in South Africa or in Turkey.

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09/16/2015
Economic Publications

Gulf countries: various reactions to the same shock

What are the impacts of lower oil prices on the gulf countries economy. Focus on Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Bahrain. What are the diversification strategies and the region’s integration with international trade. Focuses on the food and beverage sector in the UAE and automotive sector in Saudi Arabia.

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09/09/2015
Economic Publications

Latin America - Activity in the region still decelerating

Growth in Latin America has been slowing down since 2011, and was estimated at 1.2 % in 2014 . This lacklustre result, caused by weak domestic fundamentals, were exacerbated by cyclical factors such as the decline of commodity prices - and particularly the plunge in oil prices experienced since the second half of 2014.

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09/06/2015
Economic Publications

Company insolvencies in Western Europe: slight lull being confirmed for 2015

In this first overview of company insolvencies in Europe, Coface examines the following question: Was the return to growth observed in Europe strong enough to bring about a lasting reduction in business failures? For 10 out of the 12 Western European countries studied, the answer is «yes».

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07/22/2015
Economic Publications

Automotive Sector Central Europe

The CEE region has become an attractive destination for investments by global car manufacturers. In 2014, 3.6 million vehicles were produced in Eastern Europe, equating to 21% of total EU production. In the CEE countries covered by Coface´s analysis there are 33 car factories, most of which were created by foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows. The analysis shows that despite high dynamics of car sales generated by local clients recently, CEE factories remain highly dependent on foreign demand.

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07/09/2015
Corporate Publications

2014 Activity Report

The group’s 2014 activity report is available.

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06/19/2015
Economic Publications

Global Country Risk Outlook June 2015

In this panorama, we first set out a study examining the economic situation and outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa.

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06/06/2015
Economic Publications

Turkey : Challenges amid global changes

After a decade of well-imple­mented reforms and high growth rates, the Turkish economy seems to be struggling to maintain the same growth performance. Coface expects a growth rate of 3.5% this year - still a solid rate, yet below the po­tential growth rate estimated at 5% and lower than some of the country’s peers.

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06/01/2015
Economic Publications

Central and Eastern Europe: Company Insolvencies barometer June 2015

"Company insolvencies stabilized with a just minor drop by 0.5% as the regional average. Our scenario assumes that companies should experience further gradual decline of insolvencies this year facing good prospects for internal demand and more visible recovery of Eurozone as the CEE’s main trading partner."

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05/26/2015
Economic Publications

France: Insolvencies barometer April 2015

This barometer sets out the latest trends for company insolvencies for the first four months of 2015 in France. After a 2.9% fall recorded for 2014, a level not observed since 2010 (-3.8%), the first four months of the year were marked by a rebound in insolvencies.

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05/26/2015
Economic Publications

End of european milk quotas: a new era for the french dairy sector

Since the introduction of milk quotas in 1984, until their effective ending in 2015, milk production has undergone many reforms.

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04/29/2015
Economic Publications

Some key indicators from the survey revealed signs of a slight deterioration

Coface conducts an annual survey to examine corporate payment trends and experiences in the Asia-Pacific region. In 2014, the survey was conducted in 8 economies – Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, Singapore and Taiwan, as well as, for the first time, Thailand. The study revealed some key indicators that showed signs of a (...)

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04/15/2015
Economic Publications

Barometer sector risks in the world

The changes in our sector assessments reflect the development of the world economy since the end of 2014, marked by the appreciation of the dollar against other currencies, the oil price collapse and gradual recovery in the Eurozone. These trends have had repercussions on most of the sectors we track.

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04/15/2015
Economic Publications

Panorama - The US automotive sector: a risky recovery ?

The automotive sector in the US, deeply impacted by the onset of the 2007 crisis, seems to be currently a part of a virtuous circle.
As the car sales are on an upward trend, some risks could derail the sector economy, though.

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03/26/2015
Economic Publications

Panorama Global Country Risk Outlook

In this panorama we first set out a study examining how the advanced economies are facing up to the challenge of weak economic growth since the Lehman Brothers collapse, that is for the past seven years now! Some observers are even talking of "secular stagnation". But, in our view, not all the advanced economies are facing the same challenges regarding this risk of longterm stagnation. We believe that (...)

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03/23/2015
Economic Publications

Panorama Overview of Czech Republic

The Czech Republic is back on fast track. After falling into recession in 2012 and 2013 due to sharp fiscal consolidation and sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone, the economy regained momentum reaching solid growth rate of 2.0% in 2014 and should gain speed with (...)

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03/16/2015
Economic Publications

Company insolvency trends in Brazil

Ongoing economic scenario in Brazil remains sensitive, Coface expects GDP to break even in 2014 and activity should contract by 0.5% in 2015. Industry dropped by 3.2% in 2014 and will probably record another negative year in 2015. The year has just started, but it may reserve some negative surprises.

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03/09/2015
Economic Publications

Panorama China Payment Survey

Coface conducts an annual survey of payment experience in China. With 80% of the survey respond-ents shared overdue experience and 56.7% of them saw an increase in overdue amount over the past year, the overall payment experience in China remained very challenging in 2014 (...)

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03/04/2015
Economic Publications

Panorama Latin America

Latin America is a major producer of commodities and recent drop in oil prices is impacting countries of the region in different ways. Some of them may benefit from lower international quotation, others are negatively impacted already in the short term and finally a third group could be affected in the medium term only.

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01/19/2015
Economic Publications

Middle East and North Africa Panorama: What progress after the arab spring?

How do the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) economies perform after the social and political turmoil caused by the so-called "Arab Spring" late in 2010? Have social and economic demands of protesters resulted in a healthier economic outlook in these countries?

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01/19/2015
Economic Publications

Panorama Turkey: Insolvencies

Disclosure of the exit strategy by FEDChairman Ben Bernanke in May 2013 triggered a new period marked by a change in the risk perception towards developing economies in financial markets. Turkey entered this period with a high current accounts deficit, a production sector substantially dependent on imports and three successive elections.

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01/14/2015
Economic Publications

Panorama LATAM : Growth picking up at countries of Pacific

Three decades ago Latin America used to be known by negative terms such as dictatorship, debt crises and high inflation. The region's GDP increased by an annual average of only 1.5% in the 1980s. One decade later the rate rose to 2.4% and finally achieved 4.2% between 2003 and 2013. Over the years Latam has begun to be associated with economic growth, new middle class, poverty reduction and controlled inflation.

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11/20/2014
Economic Publications

Panorama sector, European pharmaceutical companies : is austerity fatal ?

This end of year panorama starts with the risk assessment of 14 sectors in the three regions we monitor. North America is witnessing major evolutions. Our assessments in this region are improving for chemicals, transportation and textile-clothing. These three sectors are benefiting from the good shape of the American economy and from the fall in oil prices

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11/06/2014
Economic Publications

Panorama Poland insolvencies

Poland is a headline example of the country that didn’t record recession in recent years. However, in micro terms companies insolvencies have been on...

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10/24/2014
Economic Publications

Panorama Country Risk - World Trade: a Sluggish Spell?

This panorama first contains a study on World Trade. World trade stagnated in the first halfyear 2014 and is struggling to recover nearly 6 years after the start of crisis.

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09/24/2014
Economic Publications

Carrot-and-stick: Challenges ahead for the chinese economy

Since the beginning of the year, the Chinese government has continued its effort to carry out various items on the reform agenda, particularly on...

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09/17/2014
Economic Publications

European airlines: constraints on change

The single European Union (EU) market for air transport was formed only in 1997. Since then, the traditional airlines have had to compete with low-cost carriers on their short and medium-haul flights.

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09/08/2014
Economic Publications

Panorama Brazil Insolvencies: Activity does not take off

Activity in Brazil remains lackluster, inflation stands above the target, interest rates are among the highest in the world, confidence remains at a low level across a variety of indexes and the well-known low investment ratio continues to deteriorate. What is the impact on companies’ payment capacity?

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09/04/2014
Economic Publications

Romania: Will economic growth come back to strong performance?

After five challening years Romania’s economic performance proved that it has become one of the leaders of the European recovery and exceeded expectations with GDP growth rising by 3.5% in 2013. However, the slowldown of the growth in 2014 shows another picture.

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07/10/2014
Economic Publications

Panorama country : Brazil

From 2004 to 2008 Brazil had grown, on average, by 4,8% a year, but in the former period, from 2009 to 2013, the average rate declined to 2,7%. The country did not take advantage of the good winds to make important reforms, such as improving the infrastructure and the business climate...

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06/12/2014
Economic Publications

Panorama Country Risk - The British recovery : miracle or mirage

Thanks to vigorous growth since the second quarter of 2012, we anticipate the UK economy to get back to its pre-crisis level in the third quarter of 2014.

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05/23/2014
Economic Publications

Changes regarding SMEs in France and Spain – Insolvency Barometer in France

New barometer of companies insolvencies in France : a lull is observed from January to April 2014, the number of insolvencies falling by 2.3%. This barometer is followed by a comparison between the situation
of SMEs in France and Spain.

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05/16/2014
Corporate Publications

2013 Activity Report

The group’s 2013 activity report is available. Besides elements on 2013 performance, the report contains general information about Coface, missions, governance, businesses, offer and analysis of the world macroeconomic situation.

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04/25/2014
Economic Publications

Electronics in Asia / Sector Barometer

Focus on the electronics industry in Emerging Asia, a region that has become in a matter of years the world’s workshop for many electronic components.

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03/06/2014
Economic Publications

Reality Check: Corporate Payment Trend and Sectorial Risk in China

The overall payment experience in China has deteriorated in 2013 compared to 2012.

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01/28/2014
Economic Publications

Panorama China : What to expect in 2014

A broad spectrum of exciting reform plans have been announced, and the government had a series of follow-up actions. But in the near-term, potential negative impacts on the real economy as a result of the reform effort and credit risks associated with the rising cost of fund have to be watched out for.

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12/17/2013
Economic Publications

Textiles - Upmarket positioning and innovation: Key to the success for the French and European textile industry?

You will find in it our usual barometer, which assesses the risks to which companies in fourteen key industrial sectors in emerging Asia, North America and Western Europe are exposed.
We have also included an analytical focus on European textiles. This traditional industry was affected very early by globalisation, and, in particular, competition from developing countries.

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11/21/2013
Economic Publications

Insolvencies in the construction sector in France: breaking all dangers

In this Panorama, you will find the Coface barometer, which analyzes the evolution of French insolvent companies between November 2012 and October 2013.
We then publish a study on insolvencies in the French construction sector, overrepresented in insolvencies compared to it weight in the economy.

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10/14/2013
Economic Publications

Should we stake everything on the Asian consumer?

This panorama contains a study on household consumption in Asia. How big is the rise in household consumption in this region? Have Asian households taken on too much debt? What are the specific consumer behaviour patterns in Asia? Which sectors are benefitting most from this expansion of consumption?

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09/26/2013
Economic Publications

Carmakers: Europe refocusing on emerging markets

This Panorama includes our global sector barometer, which analyses the situation in fourteen key economic sectors in three of the world‘s major regions (European Union, North America and Emerging Asia) through a single credit risk indicator. In Europe, sector risks continue to deteriorate, especially in chemicals due to the remaining difficulties in the European industry, and also in the pharmaceutical branch due to the fiscal tightening measures taken by the governments.

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07/15/2013
Economic Publications

Brazil's economy: Worrying weaknesses?

Ranked seventh in the world (and the second largest emerging economy) by GDP size, Brazil is the archetypal emerging country. But, the Brazilians’ legendary optimism has been sorely tested for the last two years: Can the Brazilian economic engine be repaired?

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07/11/2013
Corporate Publications

2012 Activity Report

Jean-Marc Pillu, CEO of Coface:
"In 2012, we combined further profitability and growth, while continuing to assist our customers".

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06/20/2013
Economic Publications

What has happened to the Italian business model?

This panorama contains a study of the Italian economy, which analyses and interrogates both macro- and microeconomic issues. We also present the latest adjustments to our country assessment.

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06/04/2013
Economic Publications

Central European companies in crisis: why?

This new Panorama contains the results of our Company Insolvency Monitor from April 2012 to April 2013 and the results of a study on insolvencies among Eastern European countries, a region experiencing a sharp rise in insolvencies rate.

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04/18/2013
Economic Publications

Focus e-commerce / distribution

Coface releases a series of economic reports and is pleased to announce the publication of its second Panorama sector report. Readers will find in it a global sector barometer which analyses the situation in fourteen key economic sectors. The originality of the analysis is that it is based on aggregating the accounts of 6,000 companies in three of the world’s major regions: the European Union, North America and Emerging Asia.

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03/20/2013
Economic Publications

Transformation of emerging country risk

In this Panorama, Coface highlights the radical transformation of risks in emerging countries. While traditional country risk (sovereign risk, external vulnerability) has appreciably declined, three new risks are appearing and need to be monitored.

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02/07/2013
Economic Publications

2013 Coface Country Risk Conference

The 17th Country Risk Conference held by Coface on 22 January 2013 has confirmed the complexity of a situation where, more than ever, the world seems to be «split in two»: advanced versus emerging countries.

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12/10/2012
Economic Publications

Switzerland: economy is bending

Investors have made it one of their favourite havens during this period of recurrent crises, from global finance to sovereign debt in the eurozone. Proverbial political stability, sound management of public finances, a complex but attractive tax system, many very innovative small businesses and a flexible labour market. Not forgetting, of course, a renowned financial market, making it a major player on the international scene in wealth management activities. These are strengths which sometimes turn into weaknesses.

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12/03/2012
Economic Publications

Focus : The world's steel

The "Panorama Sectors", a new quarterly publication of Coface, focuses on the sector risks in the world.

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10/18/2012
Economic Publications

India: Economic slowdown

The Indian economic engine is sputtering but continues to run: it suffers from persistent bottlenecks that the country and its companies have to contend in order to grow.

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10/18/2012
Economic Publications

United States: SMEs the backbone of the economy?

When public sector job creation runs out of steam, eyes turn to the private sector, which alone seems able to offer a solid basis for recovery in the months to come through investment and the hiring of workers.

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10/15/2012
Economic Publications

Updates and growth forecasts

The global economic slowdown is confirmed this fall, in line with the recession in the eurozone and the emerging market deceleration.

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10/11/2012
Economic Publications

Why are there less companies insolvencies in Germany?

Although the overall number of insolvencies continues to decline (-1.8% between September 2011 and August 2012), the summer of 2012 confirms the trend that began last Spring with an important growth in their cost (+17%) and a correlative increase in unemployment (+3.3%). The barometer presented in this panorama analyses this development, principally caused by the difficulties of larger French companies. A list is also given of the riskier sectors, those where risks are deteriorating and those which have been relatively spared.

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08/09/2012
Economic Publications

Feature: United States / Focus on Asia

The United States remains the planet’s leading economic power. As evidence, one need only consider the simple fact that the US consumer accounts for 70% of the US economy and 18% of global GDP. The economic spotlights are therefore focused for very good reasons on rising petrol prices, falling housing prices, unemployment and unequal profit distribution, all of which undermine household confidence. The outcome of the political debate between the Republicans and Democrats over the US budget and national debt as well as the Fed’s orientation and monetary policy as from July are therefore also under close scrutiny.

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07/05/2012
Economic Publications

Country risk overview - Summer 2012

In Southern Europe, the recession is deepening, particularly in Spain, Italy and Cyprus. Coface is forecasting a recession rate of 2%, 1.8% and 1.3% in these countries respectively in 2012. Another source of concern is the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, which is now affecting growth in emerging countries, where Coface has noted a slowdown in activity.

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06/04/2012
Economic Publications

Morocco: 2012, a challenge year

The «Arab Spring» was rather mild in Morocco, compared with what is still going on in other countries in the region. This results from the role of the king, the Commander of the faithful, but also from the fact that leaders in Morocco have attempted to anticipate the rise of unrest and discontent.
Today, the country has a true asset with its manageable external indebtedness and its solid and dynamic banking sector.However, despite true economic and social progress, and despite the benefits that it derives from phosphates, tourism and better infrastructures, Morocco remains a rural, poor and insufficiently diversified country.

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04/15/2012
Corporate Publications

2011 Activity report

Jean-Marc Pillu, CEO of Coface: «In 2011, we achieved our goal of refocusing our operations on credit insurance».

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04/05/2012
Economic Publications

Country Risk Overview - Spring 2012

Greece quitting the eurozone would be disastrous. But this long unthinkable scenario cannot be discounted. Even though its likelihood remains below 50%, policymakers cannot afford to sweep it under the rug considering the severity of the Greek financial and economic crisis and the difficulty of implementing unavoidable reforms. This article draws lessons from the financial crises in Russia (1998) and Argentina (2001/2002) in exploring the likely advantages and disadvantages for Greece of withdrawing from the eurozone. What then would be the risk of propagation to the peripheral countries and the consequences for the eurozone as a whole?

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03/08/2012
Economic Publications

main lessons drawn from the Coface Country Risk Conference 2012 in Paris

Like at the beginning of each year, Coface organized its 16th conference in Paris on 16 January 2012, which has become the flagship event in the field of country risk, one of its main areas of expertise. An exercise, particularly challenging for 2012.

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11/10/2011
Economic Publications

Special report: Italy / Credit insurance

Italy’s economy – the third-largest in the euro zone – is well diversified. Yet the country is currently at the centre of the debt crisis plaguing the single currency zone. Of course, many of the economy’s fundamentals appear sound. The budget deficit did not deteriorate significantly during the crisis, the growth in industrial added-value and a niche strategy help to limit the trade deficit, and household indebtedness is relatively low. But the deterioration in the country’s economic growth potential due to structural weaknesses and the crushing weight of the public-sector debt in a very uncertain international environment are all cause for concern. Given the vast size of this debt and the fact that it is widely held by the European banking sectors, a default by the Italian government would have incalculable consequences on the euro zone’s future. However, the recent formation of a government of experts led by Mario Monti, an economist and former European Commissioner, provides some reassurance of rigour which is a step in the right direction.

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11/03/2011
Economic Publications

Agrofood industry

After their surge in 2007/2008, prices for farm raw materials began to soar again in June 2010, affecting foodstuff prices worldwide with particularly sharp increases in emerging countries. No other asset class registered jumps in prices as spectacular as those recorded by some farm raw materials with grain prices skyrocketing 36% year-on-year through August. Sugar prices also soared, up 50%. Prices for meat (beef, mutton, chicken) and dairy products rose over 15%. The price increase for rice was more modest with that commodity not traded on the futures market and only a small fraction of its production traded internationally.

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10/06/2011
Economic Publications

Country Risk Overview - October 2011

Disappointing growth figures for the second quarter of 2011, political tensions in the United States this summer around the question of the debt ceiling and the loss of its triple-A rating, the never-ending sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone, the persistent lack of confidence on the financial markets, tensions on the money market and the vertiginous fall of bank share prices: So many negative signals that are likely to affect the global recovery observed since mid-2009. Global growth in 2011 will settle at 3.2%, representing a slowdown of 1.1 point of GDP compared to 2010.

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07/07/2011
Economic Publications

Country Risk Overview - July 2011

Global 2011 growth now stands at 3.3% against 3.2% in March. Growth forecasts for industrialised countries are almost unchanged at the projected 1.8%, a net slowdown compared to the 2.5% increase recorded in 2010.

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04/07/2011
Economic Publications

Country Risk Overview - April 2011

Various events that marked the first quarter 2011 prompted us to revise our world growth forecast for the year, down from 3.4% to 3.2%. And based on virtually finalized data for the fourth quarter 2010, world growth for 2010 comes to 4.2%.

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02/10/2011
Economic Publications

Main lessons from the 2011 Country Risk Conference held in Paris

Worldwide growth should be robust in 2011. But how can we analyse its driving forces and risks? Between the United States, where the recovery is hiding the weaknesses of an economic model that is overly based on debt, Europe, weakened by its heavy public debt and eroded competitiveness, and the emerging countries whose dynamism is continuing but needs to find new balances, decision-makers more than ever need reliable decryption and analyses to find their way.

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01/24/2011
Economic Publications

Global Construction: Substantial Geographic Differences, High Sensivity to Economic conditions, Permanent Credit Risk

The global construction sector is a kaleidoscope of diversity with substantial differences between countries and even between the regions of a given country.The sensitivity to changes in economic conditions also varies widely. In general,payment incidents involving actors in the sector are not uncommon. This surveyis intended to enable international trade actors to gain an awareness of the risksand opportunities that characterise this market.

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